About the Project
气候变化对农田系统的冲击已呈全球化、常态化,农田基础设施可抵御气象灾害、作物多样种植能提升土壤碳汇能力,但零散案例难推动全球韧性整体提升,且存在技术适配性不足等问题,无法应对气候变化的整体性、跨区域冲击。近年来,中国高标准农田建设在提升农田气候韧性上成效显著,当前推进的第三次全国土壤普查,将进一步摸清耕地质量本底,为抵御气候风险筑牢基础,通过技术与数据积累,我国已逐步构建起涵盖"现状调查、动态监测、评价优化"的农田气候韧性研究一体化技术方案。
本项目立足国内优势,聚焦全球共性挑战,一方面深入解析农田基础设施与作物多样种植对稳产固碳的因果机制,另一方面解决相关技术在全球应用中适配性不足、投入失衡、政策协同弱等问题。项目以"稳产"为农田气候韧性核心表征指标、"固碳"为关键调控指标,分别以农田基础设施、作物多样种植为切入点:在景观尺度,评估地块布局、田间道路等设施对农田抗旱、耐热、防涝的支撑效应;在区域尺度,分析作物多样化种植格局及复种、轮作等模式在气候胁迫下的产量响应、水分利用效率变化,及其对土壤碳库的调节机制;最终解析二者协同下的产能提升与韧性调控集成路径,构建天空地一体化农业预警与配置系统,并在全球典型区开展示范应用。
本项目紧扣指南,在理论方法与合作机制方面实现创新,不仅推动气候变化农业影响的研究视角从传统"高产"向"稳产"转变,革新监测与评价方法体系,还将打破传统"技术引进来"的国际合作模式,按"技术输出—区域适配—实效验证"思路开展合作。项目由中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所牵头,联合中国科学院空天信息创新研究院、中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所、中国农业大学、华中师范大学 4 家国内技术优势单位创新理论方法体系;联合包括联合国粮农组织(FAO)、国际食物政策研究所(IFPRI)、国际应用系统分析研究所(IIASA)等在内的8家国外知名机构,以外部专家智库方式参与案例验证,提升自主研发的模型方法在全球范围内的认可度。
项目申报获得农业农村部农田建设管理司支持,在政策、组织、资源支撑条件等方面具有充分保障,通过中国及欧洲、非洲、中亚、南亚、亚太等区域的典型案例对比研究,有望产出全球适用的模型方法、高水平论文、联合报告及智能决策平台等成果;项目执行过程严格与主管部门保持常态化沟通,在获得授权的前提下,依托 FAO 等国际权威平台,传播中国土壤普查、高标准农田建设在提升农田气候韧性方面的积极成效;举办国际研讨会和技术培训会,强化相关能力体系建设,借南南合作加大对粮食短缺地区的技术援助;积极谋划构建农田气候韧性领域的国际科技协作网络,为服务国家科技外交战略需求、提升我国在全球农业气候治理领域的话语权提供有力支撑。
The impacts of climate change on farmland systems have become global and persistent. While farmland infrastructure can mitigate meteorological disasters and crop diversification can enhance soil carbon sequestration capacity, isolated case studies are insufficient to drive overall improvement in global resilience. Issues such as inadequate technological adaptability remain, making it difficult to address the holistic and cross-regional impacts of climate change. In recent years, China's high-standard farmland construction program has achieved remarkable results in enhancing farmland climate resilience. The ongoing Third National Soil Census will further clarify baseline cropland quality, laying a solid foundation for climate risk mitigation. Through the accumulation of technology and data, China has progressively developed an integrated technical framework for farmland climate resilience research, encompassing "status investigation, dynamic monitoring, and evaluation optimization."
This project leverages domestic strengths while focusing on shared global challenges. On one hand, it conducts in-depth analysis of the causal mechanisms through which farmland infrastructure and crop diversification contribute to yield stabilization and carbon sequestration. On the other hand, it addresses challenges in global application, including insufficient technological adaptability, imbalanced investment, and weak policy coordination. The project adopts "yield stability" as the core indicator of farmland climate resilience and "carbon sequestration" as the key regulatory indicator, using farmland infrastructure and crop diversification as respective entry points. At the landscape scale, it evaluates the supportive effects of plot layout, field roads, and other facilities on drought resistance, heat tolerance, and flood prevention. At the regional scale, it analyzes yield responses and changes in water use efficiency of diversified cropping patterns—including multi-cropping and rotation systems—under climate stress, as well as their regulatory mechanisms on soil carbon pools. Ultimately, the project seeks to elucidate integrated pathways for productivity enhancement and resilience regulation through the synergy of both approaches, build an integrated sky-air-ground agricultural early warning and allocation system, and conduct demonstration applications in typical regions worldwide.
Closely aligned with program guidelines, this project achieves innovation in both theoretical methodology and cooperation mechanisms. It not only advances the research perspective on agricultural impacts of climate change from the traditional focus on "high yield" to "yield stability," and modernizes monitoring and evaluation methodologies, but also breaks the conventional international cooperation model of "importing technology." Instead, collaboration follows the approach of "technology export—regional adaptation—effectiveness verification." The project is led by the Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), in collaboration with four leading domestic institutions: the Aerospace Information Research Institute (CAS), the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (CAS), China Agricultural University, and Central China Normal University, to innovate the theoretical and methodological framework. It also partners with eight internationally renowned institutions, including the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), which participate as external expert think tanks in case validation to enhance the global recognition of independently developed models and methods.
The project application has received the support of the Department of Farmland Construction Management under the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, with comprehensive assurances in terms of policy, organizational, and resource support. Through comparative case studies spanning China, Europe, Africa, Central Asia, South Asia, and the Asia-Pacific region, the project is expected to yield globally applicable model methods, high-level academic publications, joint reports, and intelligent decision-support platforms. Throughout project implementation, regular communication with supervisory authorities is strictly maintained. With proper authorization, the project leverages authoritative international platforms such as FAO to disseminate the positive outcomes of China's soil census and high-standard farmland construction in enhancing farmland climate resilience. International seminars and technical training workshops will be organized to strengthen capacity building. Through South-South cooperation, technical assistance to food-insecure regions will be expanded. The project actively plans to establish an international scientific and technological collaboration network in the field of farmland climate resilience, providing robust support for serving national science and technology diplomacy strategies and enhancing China's voice in global agricultural climate governance.